FileCoin IOU Market

Trading Everything That Moves

The FileCoin FXIL (IOU) chart on Poloniex has been showing some text book market structure & volume profile correlation.

Price is currently ranging, and if you are the “trade anything that moves” type of person, then this is an interesting market to consider. Most new launches see a fairly large amount of volatility. Therefore a break of the range will provide some trend based trading.

Disclosure. The author does not own any FileCoin, XFIL, or IOU’s.


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Is Ripple Still on Repeat?

Ripple, XRP,

The pattern of price movement on the XRPBTC chart has been on auto-pilot repeat mode for 22months now. Therefore we currently have a VERY simple market view :

Bear: wait for the support to break and short it. Likely to be a short sell for a few months. Bullish tilt would emerge after sideways to play a relief rally.

Bull: long a breakout of resistance. This would also lend itself to the price pattern finally stopping its repetition after almost 2years of easy trades. Bearish tilt would be reactivated under the breakout of resistance.

Charts are powered by the SCMR Analysis Suite

DayTraderCoin Swap

DayTradercoin is upgrading to a masternode coin. Please follow the instruction below for the swap process.


Instructions for the swap:

– Go to “datadir” folder and backup the entire DayTraderCoin folder. Copy it to your desktop for now.
How to find your datadir:

Windows: go to search and type %appdata%
Linux: it should be in “/home/YourUserName/.DayTraderCoin”

– Make an account on
– Open old wallet and send your coins to the swap deposit address.
– Once coins confirm shutdown the wallet.
– Go back to the datadir and delete the entire “DayTraderCoin” folder.
– Download the new wallet.
– Generate a new address. New DTC address start with a “9”
– Got back to your account and navigate to “settings” then paste your address and submit.
– Once you get your coins then you can delete the DayTraderCoin folder that was backed up to the desktop.

Don’t forget to backup your wallet!

Happy Equinox: March 20 2016



Happy Equinox, aka first day of Spring. It might sound like a silly day to make a post about, however equinox is often associated with a trend change.


If a market is stuck sideways it might pick a direction. If a market is trending up it may correct for a bit. It certainly does not play out all the time, but it has provided some noteworthy results in the past. Below is Bitcoin with the Autumn and Spring equinoxes marked with a dotted vertical line.


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Click Chart to Enlarge


Stellar (STR / XLM): Feb 16 2016

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Click Chart to Enlarge


This chart is so hype, I can’t believe it has not blasted off the launchpad yet. Stellar (STR on Poloniex and XLM on Bittrex) seems to be destine for about a doubling in price to somewhere around 1000sats where it will meet a convergence of trend lines and horizontal resistance. If that level can be broken, which it seems like it eventually will, the upside is staggering.


If you have missed out on ETH and other large bull markets I think Stellar is in the same situation that I identified in the CANN article. That being it’s an established coin with many sizable moves and it is still undervalued against it’s historical chart in an time when everything of quality is moving up.


The MACD and other momentum indicators look very strong, the buy volume has been strong with little rise in price, and the FIB tool extension above the 1000sat mark is promising. My guess is that first resistance will be at around 1000 with a breakout target near 2000, current price is a bit over 500.



Altcoin Trends (LTC, NVC, PPC, NMC): Oct 21 2015

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Click Chart to Enlarge


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Click Chart to Enlarge


Interesting movements in the BTC-e altcoin world. LTC/BTC and NVC/BTC (see charts above) are moving fairly close together. Meanwhile PPC/BTC and NMC/BTC (see charts below) are moving fairly close together. In fact all 4 charts have the same general approach to them at this time. Currently none of the charts are bullish.


Since the price has crossed under the EMA’s it is likely the move that seems to be looming upwards will be a throwback to the EMA before going down again. The LTC/USD pair on BTC-e did print a reversal signal 2 days ago. Even though the other 3 have not printed a reversal the fact that they all move together is important. Uses LTC as the main signal and if it starts to move then it becomes worth playing the rest of them too.


Click Chart to Enlarge
Click Chart to Enlarge


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Click Chart to Enlarge



Charts are powered by the SCMR Trends Analysis Suite on

International Investors & the Canadian Election: Oct 15 2015

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Click Chart to Enlarge


I had noticed some interesting patterns in the Oil price vs the NDP support the other day so I went rooting around for other correlations. As it turns out there are many, but none as telling as the CAD/USD exchange rate. America has the DXY to monitor the strength of the US Dollar. However here in Canada we mainly us the USD exchange rate as a benchmark of value. It is in this currency pair that most telling international view of the Canadian election is found.


Though a large range the 6 weeks lead that the NDP started the election with corresponded to a 6week range on the chart. It is not noted on the chart but the low on the 24th was also the peak of NDP support. Next point of interest is the where the number 2 is located. The Conservatives bolted into the lead as the NDP bled support to the Liberals and the clearly international investors were not keen on another Conservative government. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) stayed in a down trend the entire time the Conservatives had the lead. Then as if it was magic the day the Liberals first challenged the lead the CAD put in a low and has been trending up ever since.


It is clear that international investors see new hope with a Liberal government and a majority over a minority would be that much stronger for Canada abroad. Investors were neutral to mildly bearish on the NDP and very bearish on the Conservatives winning again. The world wants to see change in Canada. Normally the CAD/USD is tied to the the price of Oil, but it is clear that in this all important election that the public’s choice of the next leader is having a huge effect on its international image. The election takes place on Oct 19 2015, should see some amazing volatility that day. If the Liberals stay set to win a spike up on the CAD after exit polls are released seems reasonable.


oct 15 poll seats
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poll oct 15
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If you mainly a crypto trader you can trade CAD forex pairs with Bitcoin on, click the link and take the tour.


Happy Canada Day: July 1 2015

Happy Canada Day. No trading/charts today, gotta enjoy life a little right? Right! Bitcoin (BTC) is still moving down towards $250 as published yesterday. At a rough glance it could be hitting the first buy zone tomorrow just before close.

Litecoin (LTC): Mar 30 2015

LTC BTC Mar 30
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LTC seems to be doing what it does best…suck. There is still no sign of bullish potential above 0.007, and that is crucial. The price action in the white box looks a look like the pink box to me. If the wedge breaks it will probably be BTC going up, not LTC going down.

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